Hurricane IGNACIO

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HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092003
0900Z SUN AUG 24 2003
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO
SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN
EVARISTO TO LA PAZ.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 108.8W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 108.8W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 108.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.2N 109.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.9N 109.8W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.4N 110.3W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.0N 110.8W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.7N 111.7W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 28.0N 112.5W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 29.5N 113.5W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 108.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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