Tropical Storm FELICIA

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TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062003
0900Z SAT JUL 19 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 115.8W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 115.8W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 114.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.1N 118.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.6N 121.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.1N 124.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.6N 127.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.1N 137.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 142.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 115.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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