Tropical Storm CARLOS

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032003
0900Z FRI JUN 27 2003
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO.  OTHER PORTIONS OF THIS WARNING WILL
LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.  INTERESTS ELSEWHERE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  97.9W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  97.9W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  97.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N  98.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.2N  99.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 100.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N 101.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.0N 104.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 20.0N 106.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 21.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  97.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN