Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm CARLOS


ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032003
2100Z THU JUN 26 2003
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EASTWARD TO SALINA CRUZ AND HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO.  TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  97.6W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  97.6W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  97.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.7N  97.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.5N  98.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.0N 100.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 101.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 19.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  97.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN