Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL192003
0300Z WED OCT 22 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  52.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  52.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  52.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.7N  54.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.3N  54.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N  52.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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