Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL192003
2100Z TUE OCT 21 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  52.3W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  52.3W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  52.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.5N  53.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.1N  54.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.4N  54.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.6N  54.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 44.0N  53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...EXTRATROPICAL
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  52.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
FORECASTER MAUSSER
 
 
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