Tropical Storm NICHOLAS

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL192003
0900Z MON OCT 20 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  47.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  47.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  47.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.0N  47.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.5N  48.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.4N  49.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.4N  50.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.0N  51.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 25.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 29.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  47.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN