Tropical Storm NICHOLAS
ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192003
0900Z SUN OCT 19 2003
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 48.2W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 48.2W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 48.1W
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.8N 48.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.2N 49.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 49.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.8N 50.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 24.5N 52.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 28.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 48.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN