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Tropical Storm MINDY (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM MINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182003
2100Z SAT OCT 11 2003
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  71.5W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  71.5W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  71.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 24.5N  71.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.5N  70.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 38.0N  56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 43.0N  47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 45.0N  36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  71.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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