Tropical Storm LARRY
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TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172003
1500Z SUN OCT 05 2003
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CIUDAD CEL CARMEN.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 93.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 93.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 93.5W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.7N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.9N 93.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.0N 94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.5N 95.0W...OVER PACIFIC WATERS
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.0N 96.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 15.5N 98.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 16.0N 100.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 93.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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