Tropical Storm LARRY
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TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172003
0900Z SUN OCT 05 2003
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 93.5W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 93.5W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 93.5W
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.0N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.0N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N 94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.5N 94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.0N 96.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 15.0N 97.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 15.5N 100.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 93.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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