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Tropical Storm LARRY (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172003
1500Z SAT OCT 04 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  93.7W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  93.7W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  93.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.0N  93.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N  93.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.9N  93.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.3N  94.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N  94.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.5N  95.5W...PACIFIC REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 15.0N  97.0W...PACIFIC REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  93.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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