Tropical Storm LARRY
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TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172003
1500Z SAT OCT 04 2003
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 93.7W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 93.7W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 93.8W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.0N 93.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N 93.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.9N 93.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.3N 94.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 94.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.5N 95.5W...PACIFIC REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 15.0N 97.0W...PACIFIC REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 93.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
FORECASTER STEWART
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