Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
0300Z SUN OCT 05 2003
 
CORRECTED FOR 03Z POSITION

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  55.2W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..700NE 300SE 300SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  55.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  54.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.3N  56.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 33.6N  57.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 37.1N  56.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 42.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 53.0N  43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 300SE 100SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 60.0N  25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 62.5N   5.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N  55.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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