Hurricane KATE

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HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
2100Z WED OCT 01 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  41.6W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 180SE 180SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  41.6W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  40.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.2N  43.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 30.6N  45.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 30.5N  50.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 31.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 33.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 36.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  41.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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