Hurricane KATE

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TROPICAL STORM KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162003
2100Z TUE SEP 30 2003

 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  36.4W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......125NE 100SE  50SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 125SW 125NW. 
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  36.3W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  36.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.8N  37.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  50SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.6N  39.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  50SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.4N  41.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  60SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.4N  43.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 32.7N  47.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 33.7N  51.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 35.0N  53.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  36.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PETERSEN
 
 
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