Hurricane JUAN

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HURRICANE JUAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152003
0300Z SAT SEP 27 2003
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  61.9W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  61.9W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  61.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.1N  62.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.2N  62.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 40.1N  63.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 44.8N  62.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 57.1N  58.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N  61.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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