Tropical Storm JUAN

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TROPICAL STORM JUAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152003
0300Z FRI SEP 26 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  61.9W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE  75SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  61.9W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  61.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 32.1N  62.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 33.7N  62.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.6N  63.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.6N  63.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 42.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 49.0N  61.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  61.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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