Tropical Depression FOURTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142003
1500Z TUE SEP 09 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  24.7W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  24.7W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  24.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.5N  25.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.0N  26.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.2N  27.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N  29.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.5N  32.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 27.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.0N  36.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  24.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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