Tropical Depression FOURTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142003
0900Z TUE SEP 09 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  23.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  23.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  23.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.1N  24.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.7N  25.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.0N  26.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.0N  28.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.5N  31.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 25.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 28.0N  35.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N  23.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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