Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
1500Z MON SEP 15 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  69.4W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..575NE 150SE 150SW 575NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  69.4W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  69.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.8N  70.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.0N  71.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.2N  72.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 125SW 125NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.0N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 49.5N  80.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  69.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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