Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
2100Z SUN SEP 14 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  67.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  933 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 85NE  70SE  70SW  85NW.
50 KT.......110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 325SE 275SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  67.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  67.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 24.7N  68.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 85NE  70SE  70SW  85NW.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.7N  70.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 85NE  70SE  70SW  85NW.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.7N  71.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 85NE  70SE  70SW  85NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...185NE 185SE 185SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N  72.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.2N  74.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 180SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 36.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 43.5N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N  67.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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