Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132003
1500Z THU SEP 11 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 54.5W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 200SE 200SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 54.5W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 54.0W
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.8N 58.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.2N 60.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.8N 61.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 24.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 25.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 26.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 54.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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