Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
0300Z MON SEP 08 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  40.2W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  40.2W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.8N  42.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.7N  44.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.5N  46.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N  49.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.7N  53.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  65SE  65SW  80NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 20.2N  56.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  40.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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