Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
1500Z SUN SEP 07 2003

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N  52.2W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
50 KT.......125NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
34 KT.......225NE 225SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 375SE 225SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N  52.2W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.5N  53.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 44.0N  48.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 48.5N  41.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 53.0N  34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 58.0N  30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 61.0N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 58.0N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 57.0N  35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.4N  52.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH 
 
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