Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
0900Z SUN SEP 07 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.7N  54.7W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 375SE 225SW 315NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.7N  54.7W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.2N  55.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 41.8N  51.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 46.1N  44.8W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 51.2N  36.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 55.0N  30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 56.5N  21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 60.0N  16.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 62.5N  15.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.7N  54.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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