Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
0300Z SAT SEP 06 2003
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA.  ALL CITIZENS
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  64.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT.......200NE 190SE 180SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 375NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  64.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  64.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 36.2N  62.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 180SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 38.6N  58.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 180SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 41.3N  54.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT...125NE 130SE 130SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.5N  49.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 170SE 170SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 280SE 280SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 48.0N  43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...150NE 250SE 250SW  50NW.
34 KT...250NE 425SE 425SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 58.0N  33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 59.4N  31.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  64.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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