Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
1500Z FRI SEP 05 2003
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
FABIAN IS A LARGE AND SEVERE HURRICANE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  65.4W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT.......100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 375NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  65.4W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  65.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 33.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 35.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.0N  56.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 46.0N  46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 54.0N  31.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 60.0N  10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N  65.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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