Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
0900Z FRI SEP 05 2003
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
FABIAN IS A LARGE AND SEVERE HURRICANE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  65.2W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT.......100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 375NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  65.2W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  65.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 31.5N  65.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 34.3N  64.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 38.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 46.0N  47.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 54.3N  30.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 59.1N   9.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N  65.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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