Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
1500Z THU SEP 04 2003
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  64.0W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......175NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 275SE 225SW 375NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  64.0W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  63.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 26.8N  64.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.5N  65.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 32.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 35.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 41.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 49.0N  42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 56.0N  26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  64.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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