Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
0900Z THU SEP 04 2003
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  63.5W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 120SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  63.5W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 25.7N  64.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 28.3N  65.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 31.0N  65.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.7N  64.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 48.0N  45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 56.0N  30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N  63.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH 
 
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