Hurricane FABIAN

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
1500Z WED SEP 03 2003
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ALL INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FABIAN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  62.7W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  62.7W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  62.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.3N  63.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 39.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 48.5N  48.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  62.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN