Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
0300Z TUE SEP 02 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  58.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  58.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  58.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  60.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.8N  62.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  65SE  45SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.1N  63.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  65SE  45SW  65NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.3N  64.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.0N  67.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 85NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 33.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 40.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  58.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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