Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102003
2100Z SUN AUG 31 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 54.0W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 54.0W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 53.5W
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.3N 55.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 27.0N 67.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 30.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 54.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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