Hurricane FABIAN

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
2100Z FRI AUG 29 2003
CORRECTED FOR INITIAL 50 KT WIND SPEED RADII 

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  45.2W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  45.2W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  44.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 18.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 20.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N  45.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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