Tropical Depression SIX
ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062003
1500Z MON JUL 21 2003
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. LUCIA.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING FOR
MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE AND ADJACENT FRENCH ISLANDS...AND FOR
ANTIGUA...MONTSERRAT...ST KITTS AND NEVIS...AND FOR SABA AND
ST EUSTATIUS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 58.8W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 58.8W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 57.7W
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.8N 62.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.9N 66.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.3N 70.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.0N 80.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 25.0N 84.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 28.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 58.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN