Tropical Storm ENRIQUE
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/14. THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS
IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ABOUT A WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS A DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED NEAR 30N
140W. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS GUIDANCE.
THERE IS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL ON VISIBLE IMAGERY
...BUT THE NEAREST SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS MORE THAN 150
MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. COLD SSTS SHOULD CONTINUE THE
DISSIPATION PROCESS AND THE REMNANT LOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO LAST
MORE THAN 2 OR 3 DAYS.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY PACKAGE UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 13/2100Z 20.1N 122.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
12HR VT 14/0600Z 20.3N 124.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 14/1800Z 20.0N 127.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 15/0600Z 19.6N 129.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 15/1800Z 19.3N 131.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 16/1800Z 19.0N 135.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
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