ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM JUAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2003 JUAN HAS REMAINED ON TRACK AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 010/35 AS THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AHEAD OF A NEGATIVELY TILTED MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. JUAN SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL IT IS ABSORBED IN 24-36 HOURS BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE 09Z INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS IS DECREASED TO 60 KT BASED ON SURFACE OBS AND THE OCCLUDED APPEARANCE NOTED IN HALIFAX RADAR ANIMATIONS. THE CENTER PASSED OVER THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA JUST WEST OF HALIFAX AT 29/03Z. THE HIGHEST WIND REPORT RECEIVED SO FAR WAS A SUSTAINED WIND OF 62 MPH AT 1204 AM AST...WITH A GUST TO 89 MPH AT 1214 AM AST THIS MORNING...AT HALIFAX INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. WIND AND HEAVY RAIN WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FROM THE CANADIAN WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING INTERNET ADDRESS: WWW.ATL.EC.GC.CA/WEATHER/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY AND FORECAST DISCUSSION ISSUED ON JUAN SINCE THE CYCLONE IS RAPIDLY LOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 47.8N 63.4W 60 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 12HR VT 29/1800Z 53.5N 61.2W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 30/0600Z 61.1N 56.3W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 30/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:59 UTC