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Tropical Depression FOURTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2003
 
IR METEOSAT IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY
ORGANIZED AND IT APPEARS TO BE AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.
SURFACE WINDS ARE ABOUT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AT THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 
THE SYSTEM IS MAINTAINED AS A 25 KNOT DEPRESSION BASED PRIMARILY ON
CONTINUITY UNTIL VISIBLE IMAGES BECOME AVAILABLE AND WE CAN DECIDE
IF THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER A DEPRESSION. 

THE DEPRESSION OR THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE
TOWARD THE NORTH ABOUT 10 TO 15 KNOTS UNTIL DISSIPATION IN DAY OR
TWO.

ISOLATED AREAS OF CONVECTION COULD STILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
AND GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TODAY.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      10/0900Z 16.0N  25.2W    25 KT
 12HR VT     10/1800Z 17.5N  25.5W    25 KT
 24HR VT     11/0600Z 20.0N  26.5W    25 KT
 36HR VT     11/1800Z 22.5N  27.5W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 48HR VT     12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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