ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FABIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2003 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT FABIAN HAS RETAINED AN EXCELLENT CLOUD PATTERN WITH AN EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. BASED ON THE CURRENT SATELLITE PRESENTATION AND CONTINUITY FROM THE LAST RECON SEVERAL HOURS AGO...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 95 KNOTS. FABIAN IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER COOL WATERS AND IT SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE HURRICANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 040 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS INDICATED. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 36.5N 61.5W 95 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 38.5N 58.8W 90 KT 24HR VT 07/1200Z 41.0N 54.5W 80 KT 36HR VT 08/0000Z 43.5N 49.5W 70 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 08/1200Z 47.5N 43.0W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 09/1200Z 52.5N 32.5W 70 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 10/1200Z 55.0N 25.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 11/1200Z 57.5N 10.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:58 UTC