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Tropical Depression SEVEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2003
 
BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...THE SURFACE CENTER APPEARS TO BE
JUST INLAND OVER GEORGIA JUST SOUTHWEST OF SAVANNAH.  SATELLITE
POSITION ESTIMATES ARE STILL OVER WATER TO THE EAST BUT ARE
PROBABLY THE LOCATION OF A MID-LEVEL CENTER.  THERE IS ABOUT 15
KNOTS OF WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE DEPRESSION WHICH WOULD
ACCOUNT FOR THE UPPER CENTER BEING DISPLACED FROM THE SURFACE
CENTER.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 335/08.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING
AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS AS FORECAST BY THE GFS MODEL.
 
A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED ABOUT 75 N MI NORTHEAST OF THE
SURFACE CENTER AND THERE COULD BE 25-30 KNOT WINDS IN THIS
CONVECTION.  OTHERWISE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE NOTHING HIGHER
THAN ABOUT 20 KNOTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY BECOME
A REMNANT LOW OVER LAND AND DISSIPATE BY 48 HOURS.
 
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS REPORTED ALONG THE COAST FROM SAVANNAH TO
CHARLESTON.  THERE REMAINS SOME POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN
ALONG THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION.

SINCE THE DEPRESSION CENTER IS OVER LAND...THIS WILL BE THE LAST
ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  FUTURE
INFORMATION WILL BE CONTAINED IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      26/0900Z 31.9N  81.5W    25 KT...INLAND
 12HR VT     26/1800Z 32.9N  82.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     27/0600Z 34.3N  82.1W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     27/1800Z 35.3N  81.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     28/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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