000
ABNT30 KNHC 011343
TWSAT
MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2002
SUMMARY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY DURING SEPTEMBER 2002...
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AFTER A RELATIVELY QUIET FIRST THREE MONTHS OF THE 2002 HURRICANE
SEASON...EIGHT NAMED STORMS FORMED DURING THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER
...THE HIGHEST NUMBER ON RECORD FOR ANY MONTH. FOUR OF THESE
STRENGTHENED INTO HURRICANES. IN ADDITION ONE TROPICAL
STORM...DOLLY...WHICH FORMED IN LATE AUGUST LASTED INTO SEPTEMBER.
THERE WAS ALSO ONE TROPICAL DEPRESSION THAT DID NOT BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM.
DOLLY WAS THE FIRST TROPICAL CYCLONE OF 2002 TO DEVELOP IN THE DEEP
TROPICS. IT FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EARLY ON 29 AUGUST AND ITS MAXIMUM WINDS
REACHED 60 MPH ON THE 30TH. DOLLY INITIALLY MOVED WESTWARD AND
GRADUALLY TURNED NORTHWEST AND NORTH OVER OPEN WATER AND BECAME
ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL TROUGH ON THE 5TH OF SEPTEMBER.
EDOUARD DEVELOPED ABOUT 110 MILES EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA ON
THE 1ST. THE DEPRESSION SOON STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL
STORM...AND THEN MOVED IN A CLOCKWISE LOOP OFF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST FOR A FEW DAYS. EDOUARD STRENGTHENED TO A PEAK INTENSITY OF
65 MPH ON THE 3RD BUT STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SOON WEAKENED THE
STORM AS IT HEADED FOR THE COAST. EDOUARD WAS BARELY OF TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH WHEN IT MADE LANDFALL JUST NORTH OF DAYTONA BEACH ON
THE EVENING OF THE 4TH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD CROSSED
NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA AND MOVED INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO ON
THE 5TH AS A WEAK CYCLONE. STRONG WINDS ALOFT PREVENTED ANY
REDEVELOPMENT...AND EDOUARD DISSIPATED OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF ON
THE 6TH. ITS REMNANTS WERE ENTRAINED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY CENTERED OFF THE TEXAS COAST. ASIDE FROM SOME
FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL
FLORIDA...THERE WERE NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM EDOUARD.
TROPICAL STORM FAY DEVELOPED FROM AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND A
BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. IT BECAME A DEPRESSION ON THE 5TH ABOUT
100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND BECAME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THAT SAME DAY. FAY REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY UNTIL EARLY ON
THE 6TH ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON AND STRENGTHENED TO
60 MPH. FAY BEGAN DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST LATER THAT DAY AND
EVENTUALLY MOVED INLAND ALONG THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST NEAR PALACIOS
EARLY ON THE 7TH AND THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATED. HOWEVER...THE REMNANT
LOW MEANDERED ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO FOR SEVERAL
MORE DAYS AND PRODUCED TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND WIDESPREAD FLOODING
ACROSS THE REGION.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS FIRST TRACKED AS A WEAK CIRCULATION ON
SEPTEMBER 1ST NEAR THE COAST OF AFRICA. MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
...IT FINALLY DEVELOPED ENOUGH CONVECTION TO BE A 35-MPH TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON THE 7TH IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. IT
DISSIPATED THE NEXT DAY WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA.
GUSTAV DEVELOPED AS A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 8 SEPTEMBER ABOUT
550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. IT MOVED
NORTHWESTWARD AND QUICKLY BECAME A SUBTROPICAL STORM. GUSTAV
CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD ON THE 9TH...THEN TURNED NORTHWARD ON THE
10TH. THE SYSTEM TRANSITIONED TO A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE THE CENTER
PASSED NEAR CAPE HATTERAS LATE THAT DAY. GUSTAV TURNED
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC EARLY ON THE 11TH AND THEN
STRENGTHENED INTO THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2002 SEASON. MAXIMUM
WINDS REACHED 90 MPH BEFORE GUSTAV MADE LANDFALL IN EASTERN NOVA
SCOTIA EARLY ON THE 12TH. THE STORM BECAME EXTRATROPICAL LATER THAT
DAY NEAR WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. GUSTAV PRODUCED HURRICANE-FORCE WIND
GUSTS IN PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM-FORCE
WINDS IN THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH CAROLINA. THE STORM CAUSED ONE
DEATH DUE TO HIGH SURF ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. DAMAGE
FIGURES ARE INCOMPLETE AT THIS TIME...BUT ARE BELIEVED TO BE MINOR.
HANNA DEVELOPED OUT OF A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW
PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMED FROM
THE DISTURBANCE LATE ON THE 11TH 240 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION MEANDERED SLOWLY IN THE
CENTRAL GULF...BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM ON THE 13TH ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PENSACOLA. HANNA THEN MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND
THEN NORTHWARD...PASSING OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA NEAR THE MOUTH
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER EARLY ON THE 14TH...AND MAKING LANDFALL
NEAR THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER NEAR MIDDAY ON THE 14TH WITH 50
MPH WINDS. THE REMNANTS OF HANNA PRODUCED OVER 14 INCHES OF RAIN AT
DONALSONVILLE GEORGIA.
ISIDORE FORMED FROM A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT WAS APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON 14
SEPTEMBER. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF WEAKENING IT REFORMED NEAR
JAMAICA AND HIT WESTERN CUBA AS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 20TH
AND THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE 22ND. IT WEAKENED OVER LAND AND THEN MOVED NORTHWARD OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO AND MADE LANDFALL ON THE LOUISIANA COAST JUST WEST OF
GRAND ISLE AS A 70 MPH TROPICAL STORM EARLY ON THE 26TH. ISIDORE
BROUGHT TORRENTIAL RAIN TO JAMAICA AND CAUSED DAMAGE TO WESTERN
CUBA...NORTHERN YUCATAN AND PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA/MISSISSIPPI
COAST.
JOSEPHINE WAS A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND. IT FORMED WITHIN AN OLD FRONTAL
ZONE ON SEPTEMBER 17TH. IT IMMEDIATELY MOVED NORTHEASTWARD EMBEDDED
ON THE EAST SIDE OF A TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES. JOSEPHINE WAS A
MINIMAL 40-MPH TROPICAL STORM UNTIL THE 19TH...AND A LITTLE LATER
THAT DAY IT MERGED WITH A COLD FRONT AND ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD
AS A 60-MPH EXTRATROPICAL STORM.
KYLE DEVELOPED FROM A NON-TROPICAL LOW IN THE CENTRAL NORTH
ATLANTIC ON SEPTEMBER 20TH ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
BERMUDA. UNDER WEAK STEERING CURRENTS...KYLE DRIFTED ERRATICALLY
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST FOR TEN DAYS. ITS WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE
REACHED 85 MPH ON THE 26TH AND 27TH. ON OCTOBER 1ST...KYLE WAS A
NEARLY STATIONARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
LILI HAD A CLASSIC CAPE VERDE TYPE HURRICANE TRACK AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE ATLANTIC SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TRACK BEGAN ON
SEPTEMBER 13TH WHEN A DEPRESSION FORMED FROM A WAVE IN THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. IT MOVED
QUICKLY ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON THE 23RD AS A DEVELOPING
TROPICAL STORM. MEDIA REPORTS INDICATE THAT LILI LEFT FOUR DEAD IN
ST. VINCENT WHEN A MUD SLIDE KILLED A MOTHER AND THREE CHILDREN.
THERE WAS ALSO HOME AND CROP DAMAGE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. LILI
FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY FROM NEARLY A HURRICANE TO A WEAK DEPRESSION
AS IT MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. ON THE 28TH THROUGH THE 30TH...LILI MOVED
BETWEEN JAMAICA...SOUTHWESTERN HAITI AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. JAMAICA
WAS PARTICULARLY HARD HIT WITH FOUR DEATHS REPORTED BY MEDIA ALONG
WITH SERIOUS FLOODING. ON OCTOBER 1...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS NEAR
WESTERN CUBA WITH SUSTAINED WINDS TO 85 MPH.
PRELIMINARY SUMMARY TABLE
NAME DATES WIND-MPH DEATHS U.S. DAMAGE
----------- -------------- -------- ------ -----------
TS DOLLY 29 AUG - 4 SEP 65 0 0
TS EDOUARD 1-6 SEP 65 0
TS FAY 5-7 SEP 60 0 TBD
TD SEVEN 7-8 SEP 35 0 0
H GUSTAV 8-12 SEP 90 1 TBD
TS HANNA 11-14 SEP 50 3 ? TBD
H ISIDORE 14-26 SEP 125 6 TBD
TS JOSEPHINE 17-19 SEP 40 0 0
H KYLE 20 SEP-IN PROGRESS 85 0 0
H LILI 21 SEP-IN PROGRESS 85 8 0
TBD-- TO BE DETERMINED
FORECASTERS AVILA/BEVEN/FRANKLIN/LAWRENCE/PASCH/STEWART
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