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HURRICANE KENNA ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT FRI OCT 25 2002
 
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE HEADING TOWARD THE WEST 
COAST OF MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN SOUTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA...INCLUDING ISLAS
MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA
TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KENNA WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...155 
KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO.
 
KENNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND 
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 
SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KENNA IS EXPECTED TO 
MOVE INLAND IN THE WARNING AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 165 
MPH...270 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  KENNA IS A CATEGORY 5 
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME WEAKENING IS 
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT KENNA IS EXPECTED TO BE AN 
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE AT LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  915 MB...27.02 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF KENNA.  THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE 
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE 
COAST.

REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...19.8 N...107.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 915 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM 
PDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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