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TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM PDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
...JULIO JUST INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...SPREADING 
   HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE COAST...
   
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO
FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO.
 
AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 
MILES...70 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO.  THIS IS 
ALSO ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO.
 
JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER 
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY OVER WATER. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 
HOURS AS JULIO CONTINUES INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.  
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH JULIO.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

HEAVY SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD 
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...18.3 N...102.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY.
 
FORECASTER COBB/JARVINEN
 
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