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TROPICAL STORM JULIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
...JULIO BRINGING TROPICAL STORM WINDS TO THE COAST OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO
FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO.
 
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST OR JUST SOUTHWEST OF 
LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO.  THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 65 MILES...105 
KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO.
 
JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  10 MPH
...16 KM/HR.  A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS 
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF 
JULIO WILL CONTINUE MOVING NEAR...OR ON...THE COAST TONIGHT THROUGH 
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WITH A GUST TO 52 
MPH...83 KM/HR...WERE OBSERVED AT ZIHUATANEJO A FEW HOURS AGO.   
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH JULIO.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

HEAVY SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD 
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...17.9 N...102.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH/MOLLEDA
 
 
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