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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT WED SEP 25 2002
...JULIO MAKES LANDFALL OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO
FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO.
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.6 WEST OR ABOUT 30
MILES...50 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO. THIS IS
ALSO ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO.
JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY OVER WATER. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS JULIO MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH JULIO. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
HEAVY SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...18.1 N...102.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM
PDT...THURSDAY.
FORECASTER PASCH/MOLLEDA
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