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TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM VERY CLOSE TO THE 
COAST OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO
FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 102.0 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...WEST OF 
ZIHUATANEJO.
 
JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  9 MPH
...15 KM/HR.  A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS 
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO WILL BE VERY 
NEAR OR ON THE COASTLINE BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH JULIO.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

HEAVY SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD 
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...17.6 N...102.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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