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TROPICAL STORM ISELLE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT SUN SEP 15 2002

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
 
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS
TO PUERTO VALLARTA.
 
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISELLE WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT 220 
MILES...350 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
ISELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... 
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A 
REPORT OF 46 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 58 MPH WAS RECENTLY RECEIVED FROM 
MANZANILLO.  WINDS ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA ARE EXPECTED 
TO DECREASE ON MONDAY AS ISELLE MOVES AWAY FROM THE MEXICAN  
MAINLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES
...370 KM FROM THE CENTER.

HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE 
WARNING AREA.  THIS WEATHER SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE ON MONDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...16.5 N...106.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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