[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE WESTERN BAJA PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD
TO CABO SAN LAZARO.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST OR ABOUT 145 
MILES...235 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ON THE SOUTHERN TIP 
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO TO CONTINUE FOR THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THIS TRACK...THE 
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR AND JUST WEST OF SOUTHERN BAJA 
CALIFORNIA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS MAY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY AND SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...110.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM 
PDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
NNNN

Webmaster