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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT FRI SEP 06 2002

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT
CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN BAJA PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM
CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E 
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST OR 
ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO 
PASS JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AS A 
TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND 
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.5 N...109.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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